Policy Debate Tournament Simulator

Monte Carlo Simulation Tools

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Head-to-Head
Top N Probability
Win Distribution
Rank from Wins
Rank from History
Top-N from History

Head-to-Head Probability

Calculate the probability of one team beating another based on their tournament histories.

Running simulations...

Results

Team A Win Rate
Team B Win Rate
Total Matchups
Simulations Run
Average Ranks
Team A:
Team B:

Top N Probability

Calculate the probability of each rank finishing in the top N positions.

Running simulations...

Top N Probability Results

Rank Probability Visualization

Win Distribution from True Rank

Calculate the distribution of wins for a team with a specific true rank.

Running simulations...

Win Distribution Results

Wins Probability Count Visualization

Rank Distribution from Win Count

Calculate the distribution of true ranks for teams with a specific number of wins.

Running simulations...

Rank Distribution Results

Average Rank
Most Common Rank
Total Teams Found
True Rank Probability Count Visualization

Rank Distribution from History

Calculate the distribution of true ranks for teams with a specific win/loss history.

Running simulations...

Rank Distribution Results

Average Rank
Most Common Rank
Total Teams Found
True Rank Probability Count Visualization

Top-N Probability from History

Calculate the probability of finishing in the top N positions given a specific win/loss history.

Running simulations...

Top-N Probability Results

Top N Probability
Teams in Top N
Total Teams with History
Avg Teams per Tournament